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Edo 2024: Yiaga Africa Pours Cold Water On Edo Guber Election, insists Exercise Fails Integrity Test

Yiaga Africa

By Kingsley Ohens

Foremost election monitoring group, Yiaga Africa, has poured cold water on the governorship election held in Edo State on Saturday, saying it failed all integrity test or standards.

In its final report on Monday titled “Post Election Statement on the September 21, 2024 Edo State Governorship Election
fails the integrity test/standards,” which was jointly signed by Dr. Aisha Abdullahi, Chair of the 2024 Edo Election Mission and Samson Itodo, Executive Director, Yiaga Africa, the election monitoring group said among things that there were “incidents of results manipulation and disruptions during ward and local government collation in Ikpoba/Okha, Etsako West, Egor and Oredo LGAs, including intimidation of INEC officials, observers and party agents and the collation of results contrary to the provisions of the Electoral Act and INEC
guidelines, severely undermine the credibility of the election results.”

In pouring further cold water on the exercise, Yiaga Africa also added in the report that: “Based on reports received from the sampled polling units, Yiaga Africa can project the expected vote shares for each party within a narrow margin. However, Yiaga Africa is only able to verify the election outcome if it falls within its estimated margins. If the official results do not fall within Yiaga Africa’s estimated ranges, then the results may have been manipulated.

“According to INEC, the All Progressive Congress (APC) received 51.1% of the votes, People’s Democratic Party (PDP) 43.3% of the votes, and the Labor Party garnered 4.0% of the votes. Based on reports from 287 of 300 (96%) sampled polling units, Yiaga Africa’s statistical analysis shows inconsistencies in the official results announced by INEC.

“For instance, the official results announced by INEC for APC in Oredo and Egor, LGAs fall outside the PRVT estimate. In Esan West LGA, the official results for PDP fall outside the PRVT estimates. Also, in Oredo LGA, the official results as announced for LP fall outside the PRVT estimates.

These inconsistencies with Yiaga Africa’s PRVT estimates indicate that the results were altered at the level of collation.

“The disparities between the official results released by INEC and Yiaga Africa’s PRVT estimates indicate manipulation of results during the collation process.

Yiaga Africa strongly condemns the actions of some biased INEC officials who altered figures during collation including the actions of some security officials who interfered with the collation process. Yiaga Africa notes that the cases of disruption in Ikpoba/Okha, Etsako West, Egor, and Oredo LGAs in the course of collation created opportunities for election manipulation, raising significant concerns about the credibility and integrity of the results collation process.”

It then called for the investigation and prosecution of officials that were involved in the brazen manipulations.